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納斯達克(BIIB)似乎非常明智地使用債務

2022-06-17 02:17

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Biogen Inc. (NASDAQ:BIIB) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李路曾説,最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。因此,當你考慮到任何一隻股票的風險有多大時,你需要考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因為太多的債務可能會讓一家公司倒閉。我們可以看到生物遺傳公司納斯達克(Standard Chartered Bank:BIIB)確實在其業務中使用債務。但這筆債務對股東來説是一個擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是用新資本還是用自由現金流。資本主義的一部分是「創造性破壞」的過程,破產的企業被銀行家無情地清算。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。當然,許多公司利用債務為增長提供資金,沒有任何負面后果。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先同時考慮現金和債務水平。

Check out our latest analysis for Biogen

查看我們對Biogen的最新分析

What Is Biogen's Debt?

生物遺傳公司的債務是什麼?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Biogen had US$7.28b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$3.75b in cash leading to net debt of about US$3.52b.

下面的圖表顯示,2022年3月,Biogen的債務為72.8億美元,與前一年大致相同。您可以點擊查看更多詳細信息。另一方面,它擁有37.5億美元的現金,導致淨債務約為35.2億美元。

NasdaqGS:BIIB Debt to Equity History June 16th 2022
NasdaqGS:BIIB債轉股歷史2022年6月16日

A Look At Biogen's Liabilities

生物遺傳研究公司的負債問題

According to the last reported balance sheet, Biogen had liabilities of US$3.95b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$8.45b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$3.75b in cash and US$2.02b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$6.62b.

根據最新報告的資產負債表,Biogen有39.5億美元的負債在12個月內到期,84.5億美元的負債在12個月后到期。作為抵消,它有37.5億美元的現金和20.2億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債比現金和(近期)應收賬款之和高出66.2億美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Biogen has a huge market capitalization of US$28.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

雖然這看起來可能很多,但並不是那麼糟糕,因為Biogen擁有289億美元的巨大市值,因此如果需要的話,它可能可以通過籌集資本來加強其資產負債表。但我們肯定希望密切關注其債務帶來太大風險的跡象。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

爲了評估一家公司的債務相對於它的收益,我們計算它的淨債務除以它的利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)和它的利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以它的利息支出(它的利息覆蓋)。這種方法的優點是,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(淨債務與EBITDA之比),也考慮了與債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Biogen's net debt is only 0.97 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the bad news is that Biogen has seen its EBIT plunge 18% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Biogen can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Biogen的淨債務僅為其EBITDA的0.97倍。它的息税前利潤高出利息支出12.7倍。因此,我們對它對債務的超級保守使用相當放松。但壞消息是,Biogen的息税前利潤在過去12個月里暴跌了18%。我們認為,這種表現,如果經常重複,很可能會導致股票陷入困境。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中瞭解到的債務最多。但最終,未來業務的盈利能力將決定生物遺傳能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Biogen generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 85% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤只是不能削減這一點。因此,我們顯然需要看看息税前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,Biogen產生的自由現金流佔其息税前利潤的85%,非常強勁,超出了我們的預期。這使它處於有利的地位,如果需要的話,它可以償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Biogen's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its EBIT growth rate has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Biogen can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Biogen you should know about.

好消息是,Biogen被證明有能力通過息税前利潤來支付利息支出,這讓我們感到高興,就像一隻毛茸茸的小狗對待蹣跚學步的孩子一樣。但我們必須承認,我們發現其息税前利潤增長率產生了相反的效果。考慮到所有這些因素,生物遺傳公司似乎可以輕松應對目前的債務水平。有利的一面是,這種槓桿可以提高股東回報,但潛在的不利因素是更大的虧損風險,因此值得監控資產負債表。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能包含存在於資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現生物遺傳研究的2個警告標誌你應該知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果你對一家增長迅速、資產負債表堅如磐石的公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

風險及免責提示:以上內容僅代表作者的個人立場和觀點,不代表華盛的任何立場,華盛亦無法證實上述內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。投資者在做出任何投資決定前,應結合自身情況,考慮投資產品的風險。必要時,請諮詢專業投資顧問的意見。華盛不提供任何投資建議,對此亦不做任何承諾和保證。