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2022-05-13 20:40
MBIA Inc. (NYSE:MBI) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 21% in the last quarter. But at least the stock is up over the last five years. However we are not very impressed because the share price is only up 52%, less than the market return of 79%.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 8.0%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for MBIA
MBIA wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last 5 years MBIA saw its revenue shrink by 5.8% per year. The stock is only up 9% for each year during the period. That's pretty decent given the top line decline, and lack of profits. Of course, a closer look at the bottom line - and any available analyst forecasts - could reveal an opportunity (if they point to future growth).
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
NYSE:MBI Earnings and Revenue Growth May 13th 2022This free interactive report on MBIA's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
It's nice to see that MBIA shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 35% over the last year. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 9% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for MBIA that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.