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2025-12-01 20:18
GeoPark Limited ("GeoPark" or the "Company") (NYSE:GPRK), a leading independent energy company with over 20 years of successful operations across Latin America, today announced its 2026 Work Program (the "Program") and 2027-2028 guidelines, which have been approved by the Company's Board of Directors (the "Board").
Execution Roadmap Through 2028: Scaling a Two-Fold Strategy
Protecting and Maximizing Core Production and Cash Generation in Colombia: The Company is focused on sustaining and improving the performance of its flagship Llanos 34 block and other key operated and non-operated assets. Following a strong 2025 and positive developments since GeoPark's 2025 Investor Day, Colombian production has reached a positive inflection point earlier than expected. Production is set to grow, supported by disciplined development, base optimization, enhanced recovery techniques, and strong results from recent wells. These efforts are further underpinned by the recently certified 22% increase in the 2P Original Oil in Place (OOIP)1 in the Llanos 34 Block which confirms a significantly larger resource base and strengthens the long-term production and economic outlook of the asset. Colombia will continue to provide a solid foundation to generate sustainable free cash flow, balance sheet strength, and shareholder returns.
Returning to Growth with Vaca Muerta, Argentina: With the successful integration of the Loma Jarillosa Este and Puesto Silva Oeste blocks, GeoPark is confident it can unlock material long-term growth from its position in the unconventional Neuquén Basin. The team is focusing on accelerating drilling activity to deliver a step-change in production and cash flow. Vaca Muerta is expected to become a core growth platform in GeoPark's portfolio by year-end 2028.
Key Medium-Term Guidance Metrics (2026-2028)(a)
| $65-70/bbl Brent | $60-70/bbl Brent | $70/bbl Brent | ||
| 2025E | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | |
| Production (boepd) | 26,000-28,000 | 27,000-30,000 | 32,000-34,000 | 44,000-46,000 |
| Capital Expenditures ($mm) | 90 – 120 | 190 – 220 | 280 – 310 | 350 – 380 |
| Adjusted EBITDA ($mm)2 | 260 – 290 | 220 – 300 | 310 – 340 | 490 – 520 |
| Net Debt to EBITDA (x) | 1.5-2.1 | 1.9-2.1 | 1.8-2.0 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Lifting Cost ($/bbl) | 12-14 | 13-15 | 13-15 | 11-13 |
| (a) Where applicable, final activity levels remain subject to ongoing discussions and alignment with joint venture partners, in line with standard governance processes across operated and non-operated blocks. | ||||
The strategic reset outlined at the Company's 2025 Investor Day is well underway with a series of positive developments:
These strategic milestones provide a solid foundation for GeoPark to deliver on its medium-term goals. The 2026 Work Program aligns capital with the Company's highest-value opportunities and translates strategy into action.
2026 Work Program Details: Translating Strategy into Execution
The Program marks the first full year of execution under GeoPark's new medium-term roadmap. It is designed to protect near-term cash generation, accelerate the growth of GeoPark's unconventional assets, and position the Company to scale production and value through 2028.
In 2026, the Company's $190-220 million CAPEX program will support production of 27,000-30,000 boepd across Colombia (24,500-26,000 boepd), and Vaca Muerta (2,500-4,000 boepd). The production mix is expected to be approximately 97% oil and 3% natural gas, with 12% unconventional and 88% conventional.
GeoPark expects to drill 27-36 gross wells (including 6-8 gross exploration wells), with approximately 86% allocated to development activities and 14% to exploration and appraisal activities.
Strengthening Capital Discipline and Cost Efficiency
The Program is anchored on capital discipline, financial resilience, and enduring value creation. Under a $60-70/bbl Brent base scenario, the Company expects to generate $220-300 million in Adjusted EBITDA3 in 2026. By 2028, Adjusted EBITDA is forecasted to grow to $490-520 million, equivalent to approximately 1.3 times total capital expenditures, and resulting in a projected ROACE4 of 25-30%.
The program will be primarily funded through internal cash generation and available debt facilities. At base case prices, year-end 2026 cash is expected to range between $130 and 140 million, with a net debt to EBITDA leverage ratio of 1.9-2.1x. Leverage is projected to decline below 1.5x by 2028 as cash flow increases and capital investments normalize.
The Company also remains focused on cost efficiency across its portfolio. Lifting costs are targeted to remain below $15/bbl in 2026, trending toward ~$12/bbl by 2028. General and administrative (G&A)5 expenses are expected to remain around $4/bbl during 2026 and reach approximately $3/bbl by 2028.
GeoPark's hedging strategy continues to play a central role in protecting cash flows and ensuring competitive price realizations. As of November 26, 2025, the Company had hedged approximately 56% of its 2026 estimated production6. This figure reflects an upward revision to projected volumes since the Company's 2025 Investor Day. GeoPark intends to maintain hedging coverage in the range of 50-70% of forecasted production, in line with its risk management framework.
Shareholder Returns: Maximizing Shareholder Value Through Growth
Following the completion of the Vaca Muerta acquisition and considering its projected capital needs, the Board approved a revised dividend program consisting of approximately $6 million in distributions over four quarters. This equates to $1.5 million per quarter (or $0.03 per share), beginning with the 3Q2025 results payout and ending with the 2Q2026 results payout.
GeoPark remains firmly focused on maximizing shareholder value. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to more than double by 2028, driving a larger enterprise value supported by increased cash flow, lower leverage, and a broader, more diversified asset base. Furthermore, the Board will reassess capital allocation priorities once the Company returns to positive free cash flow after its peak investment phase, consistent with GeoPark's disciplined, returns-based capital allocation framework.