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未来一周的收益:ORCL,GME,ADBE,COST,AVGO,M等

2024-12-08 21:01

Despite a light earnings calendar next week, several high-profile companies are set to report their financial figures. The results could significantly influence market sentiment across key sectors such as enterprise software and consumer staples.

Notably, investors are eager for updates from Oracle (ORCL), GameStop (GME), Adobe (ADBE), Costco Wholesale (COST), Broadcom (AVGO) and Macy's (M), among others.

Below is a rundown of major quarterly updates anticipated in the week of December 9 to December 12:

Monday, December 9

Oracle (ORCL)

Texas-based software giant Oracle (ORCL) is set to release its quarterly results after the market closes on Monday, with analysts forecasting over 9% growth in both revenue and profits.

Ahead of the earnings report, Guggenheim and Jefferies raised their price targets for the IT giant. Jefferies analyst Brent Thill increased his target to $220 (from $190), citing recent checks that suggest a "modest pipeline improvement." Guggenheim's John DiFucci reiterated his Buy rating and raised his price target to $220 (from $200), highlighting increased traction with Oracle Database through partnerships with hyperscalers, including several deals with Google Cloud and a new agreement with Amazon Web Services, according to a partner.

While Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system maintains a cautious approach with a Hold rating, Wall Street analysts are more optimistic, with a consensus Buy recommendation.

SA author Noah’s Arc Capital Management, who holds a Strong Buy view on Oracle, states, "Despite competition from Epic Systems, Oracle's versatile, AI-driven database architecture positions it well in the healthcare market. Oracle's strategic investments in healthcare and AI, along with its robust financial performance, promise sustained growth and long-term value for shareholders."

Another SA author, Oliver Rodzianko, who recommends holding the stock, argues that Oracle is overvalued. He projects a 5% expected CAGR over the next decade and a -45% margin of safety, suggesting it may not be prudent to initiate or add positions. 

  • Consensus EPS Estimates: $1.48
  • Consensus Revenue Estimates: $14.12B
  • Earnings Insight: Oracle has exceeded EPS estimates in 7 of the past 7 quarters, and revenue expectations in only 3 of those reports.

Also reporting: C3.ai (AI), MongoDB (MDB), Hello Group (MOMO), Toll Brothers (TOL), Vail Resorts (MTN), Yext (YEXT), HealthEquity (HQY) and more.

Tuesday, December 10

GameStop (GME)

Video game retailer GameStop (GME) is set to release its earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday. The stock has experienced a remarkable rally, surging nearly 92% over the past 12 months and 63% on a YTD basis, fueled by a resurgence in its meme stock status earlier this year, largely driven by influencer Keith Gill, also known as 'Roaring Kitty.'

Last Thursday afternoon, GME shares surged 10% after Gill posted a cryptic image on social media platform X (formerly Twitter). GameStop’s shares were temporarily halted for volatility but resumed trading shortly afterward.

Wall Street analysts remain generally bearish on the stock, with a consensus Strong Sell rating, while Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system has upgraded the stock to Buy from Hold ahead of its earnings results.

SA contributor Bernard Zambonin highlights that, despite declining sales, GameStop boasts a strong cash position with no debt, largely thanks to equity sales driven by retail investors during meme stock surges. The company is focusing on omnichannel retail excellence, cost management, and brand equity, with potential investments beyond gaming under CEO Ryan Cohen, the analyst stated.

  • Consensus EPS Estimates: -$0.03
  • Consensus Revenue Estimates: $887.68M
  • Earnings Insight: GameStop has beaten EPS estimates in 4 of the past 8 quarters, and revenue expectations in only 2 of those reports.

Also reporting: Stitch Fix (SFIX), AutoZone (AZO), Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY), United Natural Foods (UNFI), Avid Bioservices (CDMO), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI), Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO), Designer Brands (DBI) and more.

Wednesday, December 11

Adobe (ADBE)

Adobe (ADBE) is slated to announce its results on Wednesday after the market closes. Analysts are expecting nearly 10% Y/Y growth in both revenue and earnings.

Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system recently downgraded Adobe from Strong Buy to Hold, just a couple of days before the earnings report, while Wall Street analysts maintain a consensus Buy.

SA contributor Daniel Schonberger argues that, despite Adobe's robust growth rates, the stock remains a "Hold" due to its current overvaluation and slowing growth projections. He highlights that Adobe's economic moat, driven by brand strength and high switching costs, supports stable revenue growth and pricing power. However, an intrinsic value calculation suggests Adobe is slightly overvalued, making it prudent to wait for a potential dip in stock price.

In contrast, fellow SA author Mike Zaccardi, CFA, maintains a Buy rating on Adobe. While acknowledging mixed valuation metrics, he points out that Adobe's PEG ratio suggests it may be undervalued. Zaccardi also highlights key risks, such as competition and potential macroeconomic downturns, but believes Adobe's ongoing earnings growth and potential bullish technical indicators present an attractive opportunity.

  • Consensus EPS Estimates: $4.67
  • Consensus Revenue Estimates: $5.54B
  • Earnings Insight: Adobe has exceeded EPS consistently in all the past 8 quarters and revenue estimates in 7 of those reports.

Also reporting: Macy's (M), Uranium Energy (UEC), Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN), Nordson Corporation (NDSN), Photronics (PLAB), Vera Bradley (VRA) and more.

Thursday, December 12

Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST)

Costco (COST) is expected to report its results on Thursday, with analysts anticipating a Y/Y surge in both top and bottom lines for the big-box retailer, which recently disclosed a 5.6% increase in November revenues.

While Wall Street analysts express optimism with a Buy rating, Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating system has issued a more conservative Hold rating.

Notably, SA author Joseph Parrish highlights that despite Costco's strong fundamentals, its valuation appears inflated, with a P/E ratio nearing 60—driven more by market sentiment than actual financial performance. Parrish notes that Costco faces challenges in competing within the e-commerce and grocery markets, which limits its ability to significantly increase market share. As a result, he maintains a Hold rating.

  • Consensus EPS Estimates: $3.78
  • Consensus Revenue Estimates: $62.12B
  • Earnings Insight: Costco has exceeded revenue expectations 3 of the past 8 quarters, missing EPS estimates only twice in that span.

Also reporting: Broadcom (AVGO), RH (RH), Ciena Corporation (CIEN), Anavex Life Sciences (AVXL), National Beverage (FIZZ), Lee Enterprises (LEE), The Lovesac Company (LOVE) and more.

Friday, December 13

No significant earnings reports scheduled.

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