如果我们想要识别下一个多袋子,有几个关键趋势需要寻找。理想情况下,一家企业将呈现两种趋势;第一,增长退货关于已使用资本(ROCE),第二,增加金额已动用资本的比例。简而言之,这些类型的企业是复利机器,这意味着它们不断地以越来越高的回报率对收益进行再投资。有鉴于此,当我们看到宏盟集团(纽约证券交易所股票代码:OMC)及其ROCE趋势,我们并不是很兴奋。
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2022-06-25 02:53
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Omnicom Group (NYSE:OMC) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
如果我们想要识别下一个多袋子,有几个关键趋势需要寻找。理想情况下,一家企业将呈现两种趋势;第一,增长退货关于已使用资本(ROCE),第二,增加金额已动用资本的比例。简而言之,这些类型的企业是复利机器,这意味着它们不断地以越来越高的回报率对收益进行再投资。有鉴于此,当我们看到宏盟集团(纽约证券交易所股票代码:OMC)及其ROCE趋势,我们并不是很兴奋。
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Omnicom Group, this is the formula:
对于那些不知道的人来说,ROCE是一家公司的年度税前利润(其回报)相对于业务资本的衡量标准。要计算宏盟集团的这一指标,公式如下:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
已动用资本回报率=息税前收益(EBIT)?(总资产-流动负债)
0.18 = US$2.1b ÷ (US$26b - US$14b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
0.18=21亿美元?(260亿-140亿美元)(根据截至2022年3月的往绩12个月计算).
So, Omnicom Group has an ROCE of 18%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 7.1% generated by the Media industry.
所以,宏盟集团的净资产收益率为18%。就其本身而言,这是一个标准回报率,但它比媒体行业7.1%的回报率要好得多。
Check out our latest analysis for Omnicom Group
查看我们对宏盟集团的最新分析
In the above chart we have measured Omnicom Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Omnicom Group.
在上面的图表中,我们衡量了宏盟集团之前的净资产收益率与之前的业绩,但可以说,未来更重要。如果您想查看分析师对未来的预测,您应该查看我们的免费为宏盟集团提供报告。
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Omnicom Group, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 22% over the last five years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
当我们观察宏盟集团的ROCE趋势时,我们并没有获得太多信心。更具体地说,ROCE在过去五年中从22%下降。另一方面,该公司一直在使用更多的资本,但去年的销售额没有相应的改善,这可能表明这些投资是更长期的投资。该公司可能需要一段时间才能开始看到这些投资带来的收益变化。
Another thing to note, Omnicom Group has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 54%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
另一件值得注意的事情是,宏盟集团的流动负债与总资产的比率很高,达到54%。这可能会带来一些风险,因为该公司基本上是在相当大程度上依赖其供应商或其他类型的短期债权人运营的。理想情况下,我们希望看到这一比例降低,因为这将意味着承担风险的债务更少。
To conclude, we've found that Omnicom Group is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Additionally, the stock's total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat, which isn't too surprising. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
总而言之,我们发现宏盟集团正在对该业务进行再投资,但回报一直在下降。此外,过去五年该股对股东的总回报率一直持平,这并不太令人意外。总体而言,我们不太受潜在趋势的鼓舞,我们认为在其他地方可能会有更好的机会找到多个袋子。
Like most companies, Omnicom Group does come with some risks, and we've found 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.
像大多数公司一样,宏盟集团也存在一些风险,我们发现3个警示标志这一点你应该知道。
While Omnicom Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
虽然宏盟集团并没有获得最高的回报,但看看这个免费资产负债表稳健、股本回报率高的公司名单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。