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2020-04-01 10:10
To the annoyance of some shareholders,
(NASDAQ:ALOT) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month. And that drop will have no doubt have some shareholders concerned that the 67% share price decline, over the last year, has turned them into bagholders. For those wondering, a bagholder is someone who keeps holding a losing stock indefinitely, without taking the time to consider its prospects carefully, going forward.
Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.
Check out our latest analysis for AstroNova
Does AstroNova Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?
AstroNova's P/E of 31.03 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. As you can see below, AstroNova has a higher P/E than the average company (17.1) in the tech industry.
AstroNova's P/E tells us that market participants think the company will perform better than its industry peers, going forward. The market is optimistic about the future, but that doesn't guarantee future growth. So further research is always essential. I often monitor
director buying and selling
.
How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios
Companies that shrink earnings per share quickly will rapidly decrease the 'E' in the equation. That means even if the current P/E is low, it will increase over time if the share price stays flat. Then, a higher P/E might scare off shareholders, pushing the share price down.
AstroNova shrunk earnings per share by 70% over the last year. And over the longer term (5 years) earnings per share have decreased 16% annually. This could justify a pessimistic P/E.
Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits
Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.
Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.
How Does AstroNova's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?
Net debt is 27% of AstroNova's market cap. While that's enough to warrant consideration, it doesn't really concern us.
The Verdict On AstroNova's P/E Ratio
AstroNova's P/E is 31.0 which is above average (13.1) in its market. With a bit of debt, but a lack of recent growth, it's safe to say the market is expecting improved profit performance from the company, in the next few years. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about AstroNova over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 45.1 back then to 31.0 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.
Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is better than it expects, you can make money by buying and holding for the long term. So this
free
report on the analyst consensus forecastscould help you make a
master move
on this stock.
Of course
you might be able to find a better stock than AstroNova
. So you may wish to see this
free
collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor ateditorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.
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AstroNova的行业市盈率相对较高还是较低?
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AstroNova的市盈率告诉我们,市场参与者认为,公司未来的表现将优于业内同行。市场对未来持乐观态度,但这并不能保证未来的�R徊降难芯渴潜夭豢缮俚摹N揖<嗍拥佳莸穆�
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AstroNova的每股收益比去年��70%。从长期来看(5年),每股收益每年下降16%。这可以证�鄣腜/E是正确的。
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净债�stroNova市值的27%。虽然这已经足够值得考虑了,但这并不是我们真正关心的问题。
AstroNova市盈率的判定
AstroNova的市盈率为31.0,高于市场平均水平(13.1)。有一点债�罱脑蛔悖梢钥隙ǖ厮担谐≡て冢庸镜睦ǜ纳疲谖蠢醇改辍M耆梢钥隙ǖ氖牵ヒ桓谐《訟stroNova的乐观程度�陆担杏蚀�45.1降至��31.0。对于那些更愿意用势头投资的人来说,这可能是�藕牛韵喾吹娜死此担饪赡芤馕蹲呕帷�
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