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Green Brick Partners (GRBK) Upgraded to Strong Buy: Here's Why

2020-03-11 00:00

Green Brick Partners (GRBK-Free Report) could be a solid choice for investors given its recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). This upgrade primarily reflects an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.

The Zacks rating relies solely on a company's changing earnings picture. It tracks EPS estimates for the current and following years from the sell-side analysts covering the stock through a consensus measure -- the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Since a changing earnings picture is a powerful factor influencing near-term stock price movements, the Zacks rating system is very useful for individual investors. They may find it difficult to make decisions based on rating upgrades by Wall Street analysts, as these are mostly driven by subjective factors that are hard to see and measure in real time.

Therefore, the Zacks rating upgrade for Green Brick Partners basically reflects positivity about its earnings outlook that could translate into buying pressure and an increase in its stock price.

Most Powerful Force Impacting Stock Prices

The change in a company's future earnings potential, as reflected in earnings estimate revisions, and the near-term price movement of its stock are proven to be strongly correlated. The influence of institutional investors has a partial contribution to this relationship, as these big professionals use earnings and earnings estimates to calculate the fair value of a company's shares. An increase or decrease in earnings estimates in their valuation models simply results in higher or lower fair value for a stock, and institutional investors typically buy or sell it. Their transaction of large amounts of shares then leads to price movement for the stock.

For Green Brick Partners, rising earnings estimates and the consequent rating upgrade fundamentally mean an improvement in the company's underlying business. And investors' appreciation of this improving business trend should push the stock higher.

Harnessing the Power of Earnings Estimate Revisions

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock movements, so it could be truly rewarding if such revisions are tracked for making an investment decision. Here is where the tried-and-tested Zacks Rank stock-rating system plays an important role, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions.

The Zacks Rank stock-rating system, which uses four factors related to earnings estimates to classify stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record, with Zacks Rank #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>.

Earnings Estimate Revisions for Green Brick Partners

For the fiscal year ending December 2020, this real estate investment company is expected to earn $1.58 per share, which is a change of 36.2% from the year-ago reported number.

Analysts have been steadily raising their estimates for Green Brick Partners. Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company has increased 37.4%.

Bottom Line

Unlike the overly optimistic Wall Street analysts whose rating systems tend to be weighted toward favorable recommendations, the Zacks rating system maintains an equal proportion of 'buy' and 'sell' ratings for its entire universe of more than 4000 stocks at any point in time. Irrespective of market conditions, only the top 5% of the Zacks-covered stocks get a 'Strong Buy' rating and the next 15% get a 'Buy' rating. So, the placement of a stock in the top 20% of the Zacks-covered stocks indicates its superior earnings estimate revision feature, making it a solid candidate for producing market-beating returns in the near term.

You can learn more about the Zacks Rank here >>>

The upgrade of Green Brick Partners to a Zacks Rank #1 positions it in the top 5% of the Zacks-covered stocks in terms of estimate revisions, implying that the stock might move higher in the near term.

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影响股价的最强��

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对于Green Brick Partners而言,盈利预期的上升以及随�兰短嵘痈旧弦馕蹲殴净∫滴纳啤6蹲收叨哉庖徊欢细纳频纳桃登纳担Ω没嵬贫墒凶吒摺�

利用收益估计修正的力量

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ZackRank股票评级系统利用与盈利估计相关的四�亟善狈治謇啵覼ackRank#1(强力�到ZackRank#5(强势�,具有令人印�痰耐獠可锹迹�1988年以来ZackRank排名第一的股票平均年回报率为+25%。您可以在这里看到�腪acks1Rank(强力�股票的完整列表>。

绿砖合�榈氖找婀兰菩拚�

截至2020年12月的财政年度,这家房地产投资公司的每股收益预计为1.58美元,比去年报告的数字��36.2%。

分�恢痹谖炔教岣叨訥reen Brick Partners的估值。在过去的三�铮琙ack对该公司的一致估计��37.4%。

底线

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您可以在这里了解更多关于ZackRank的信息>

绿砖合�樯段猌ackRank#1,在Zack覆盖的股票中排名前5%,这意味着近期该股可能会走高。

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