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A Sliding Share Price Has Us Looking At James Hardie Industries plc's (ASX:JHX) P/E Ratio

2020-03-16 21:56

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the

James Hardie Industries

(ASX:JHX) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days. The stock has been solid, longer term, gaining 14% in the last year.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

Check out our latest analysis for James Hardie Industries

How Does James Hardie Industries's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

James Hardie Industries's P/E is 23.74. The image below shows that James Hardie Industries has a P/E ratio that is roughly in line with the basic materials industry average (24.0).

That indicates that the market expects James Hardie Industries will perform roughly in line with other companies in its industry. So if James Hardie Industries actually outperforms its peers going forward, that should be a positive for the share price. Further research into factors such as

insider buying and selling

, could help you form your own view on whether that is likely.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

If earnings fall then in the future the 'E' will be lower. That means even if the current P/E is low, it will increase over time if the share price stays flat. So while a stock may look cheap based on past earnings, it could be expensive based on future earnings.

It's nice to see that James Hardie Industries grew EPS by a stonking 38% in the last year. And earnings per share have improved by 25% annually, over the last five years. With that performance, I would expect it to have an above average P/E ratio. Unfortunately, earnings per share are down 3.2% a year, over 3 years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

One drawback of using a P/E ratio is that it considers market capitalization, but not the balance sheet. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

How Does James Hardie Industries's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

James Hardie Industries has net debt worth 20% of its market capitalization. This could bring some additional risk, and reduce the number of investment options for management; worth remembering if you compare its P/E to businesses without debt.

The Bottom Line On James Hardie Industries's P/E Ratio

James Hardie Industries has a P/E of 23.7. That's higher than the average in its market, which is 14.9. While the company does use modest debt, its recent earnings growth is superb. So to be frank we are not surprised it has a high P/E ratio. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about James Hardie Industries over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 35.3 back then to 23.7 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this

free

visualization of the analyst consensus on future earningscould help you make the

right decision

about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

But note:

James Hardie Industries may not be the best stock to buy

. So take a peek at this

free

list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor ateditorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

不幸的是,对一些股东来说,詹姆斯哈迪工业公司(ASX:JHX)的股价在过去的30天里下跌了33%。长期来看,该股表现强劲,去年上涨14%。

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詹姆斯·哈迪工业公司(JamesHardie Industries)的市盈率与同行相比如何?

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如果收益下降,那么在未来‘E’将更低。这意味着,即使当前市盈率较低,如果股价保持不变,市盈率也会随着时间的推移而上升。�」艽庸サ氖找胬纯矗恢还善笨雌鼙阋耍游蠢吹氖找胬纯矗赡苁前汗�

很高兴看到詹姆斯·哈迪工业公司去年每股收益��38%。在过去的五年里,每股收益每年都有25%的�S辛苏庵直硐郑以ぜ剖杏式哂谄骄健2恍业氖牵昀矗抗墒找嫦陆盗�3.2%。

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詹姆斯·哈迪工业市盈率的底线

詹姆斯·哈迪工业公司的市盈率为23.7。这一数字高于其市场平均水平,即14.9%。虽然该公司确实使用适度的债�渥罱挠羌玫摹K蕴孤实厮担颐遣⒉痪人氖杏屎芨摺>钥梢钥隙ǖ氖牵ヒ桓谐《哉材匪埂す瞎ひ�(JamesHardie Industries)的乐观程度�陆担杏蚀�35.3跌至��23.7。对于那些更愿意用势头投资的人来说,这可能是�藕牛韵喾吹娜死此担饪赡芤馕蹲呕帷�

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但请注意:詹姆斯哈迪工业可能不是最好的股票购�纯凑飧さ墓久グ桑庑┕窘谟烤�(市盈率低于20)。

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